The methodolgy or the sql for obtaining the data these curves from the private data export have already been explained in detail, but briefly…
- The Y axis is the percentage of all loans orginated of a given age that are currently 1 month late or worse…
- The X axis is the days loan origination.
- The curves stop when there is less than 250 loans in the “bucket.”
- These curves are for all loans of a given Credit Grade. One would get different curves (flatter slopes=better); for exmaple, if you were to choose loans with 2 or less inquires and 5 years of credit history you would see flatter slopes.
The range is 7-8% for AA all the way to ~55% for HR.
(Click Graph for Larger Version)
- 1 Month Late or Worse Curves by Credit Grade (September 1, 07 Update) This is an update to my original 1 month late or worse curves. I believe we are starting to see the continued flattening of the...
- 1 Month Late or Worse Curves by Credit Grade I have pulled the public data on the performance tab by hand in order to produce a spreadsheet of loan performance. This spreadsheet was then pivoted...
- 1 Month Late or Worse Curves Clearly High for E/HR A quick explanation of why E/HR Curves are higher than the ongoing curves — the Feb/07 recast of the HR/E bands by cutting the bottom...
- Prosper 1 month Late or Worse Curves by Monthly Cohort One of the tricks to determining your ROI is to be able to predict the default curve. Pninen of the Prosper Forums has been tracking...
- 1 Month Late or Worse Curves by Credit Grade (July 1 Update) This is an update to my original 1 month late or worse curves. I belive we are starting to see the flattening of the curves....
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4 comments ↓
Clicking on the chart (to see a bigger version of it, I gather) tries to go to http://none/ – which of course doesn’t exist.
@NewHorizon
Good find… Fixed.
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