Prosper Vintage Curve Update — 1/1/2008

Continuing the theme of tracking the late or worse vintage curves.  Each curve lasts only as long as there are 250 loans in the bucket.  The curves progress in time from the loan origination date.  The measurement is the percentage of money late or worse.  After a debt is defaulted the net default amount is used as the late or worse amount.

General Population 1 Month Late or Worse:

General Loan Population Vintage Curves Amount Late

Zero Current Delinquencies 1 Month Late or Worse:

0 Current DQ Population Vintage Curves Amount Late

0 Current DQ, 0-1 Inq in last 6 months Criteria 1 Month Late or Worse:

RateLadder Population Vintage Curves Amount Late

Here is the SQL to produce the data for the general population curves (this take a while to run so you cannot run it on ProProsper as it will timeout):

DECLARE @DTD int
SET @DTD=30
SELECT
cast(aday-originationdate as int) as 'PIT',
l.creditgrade,
sum(PrincipalBalance+NetDefaults) as 'Amount',
count(l.[key]) as ‘Count’,
sum(case WHEN (mld.DPD!=0 and (mld.DPD+(aday-observationdate))>@DTD) THEN PrincipalBalance+NetDefaults ELSE 0 END) as ‘AmountLate’,
sum(case WHEN (mld.DPD!=0 and (mld.DPD+(aday-observationdate))>@DTD) THEN PrincipalBalance+NetDefaults ELSE 0 END)/sum(PrincipalBalance+NetDefaults) as AmountLatePercentage,
sum(case WHEN (mld.DPD!=0 and (mld.DPD+(aday-observationdate))>@DTD) THEN 1 ELSE 0 END) as ‘CountLate’,
sum(case WHEN (mld.DPD!=0 and (mld.DPD+(aday-observationdate))>@DTD) THEN 1.0 ELSE 0.0 END)/count(l.[key]) as ‘CountLatePercentage’
FROM
loan l
inner join creditprofile cp on cp.listingkey=l.listingkey
inner join LoanPerformance mld on l.[key]=mld.loankey cross join alldays
where
mld.observationdate = ( select top 1 observationdate from LoanPerformance sub where sub.observationdate < aday and sub.loankey=mld.loankey order by sub.observationdate DESC )
and aday < getDate()
and aday >= ‘02/01/2006′
and l.creditgrade!=’NC’
group by
cast(aday-originationdate as int),
l.creditgrade
having
count(l.[key])>250 and
sum(PrincipalBalance+NetDefaults)>0
order by
‘PIT’

Related Stores If you liked this article, vote for it on del.icio.us and stumbleupon.


Categories:

Uncategorized




Useful Info:
One can spend a stress-free vacation with holiday insurance plans. Pay off insurance like dental insurance premiums through your credit cards. People who are enjoying the secured loans facility can get their securities back by paying off the principal amount or their debts. For everything else, a personal loan is available. Shop as much as you can by swiping your bad credit credit cards and earn your rewards visa has offered. Now you can apply online for a mastercard and get another supplementary card free of cost.
7 comments ↓
#1 WealthBoy on 01.04.08 at 4:37 am

Wow, that’s kind of scary! It’s too bad that the Prosper API doesn’t provide access to detail loan repayment history as well. If they did, you could get an even more accurate picture what kind of overall effect late payments are having on invested principal.

#2 Kevin on 01.04.08 at 5:51 am

@WealthBoy

This data comes from the private lender data and is effective the repayment history in a more usable format. How can I display this in a way that make it clearer?

#3 Prosper Blog: Prosper, the online marketplace for people-to-people lending » Blog Archive » Prosper Roundup — Prosper Blog Nominated For An Annual Award(?) Edition on 01.06.08 at 10:35 am

[...] Prosper Vintage Curves From Private Data (Updated Curves: Prosper Vintage Curve Update — 1/1/2008) [...]

#4 Prosper Roundup — Prosper Blog Gets a Page Rank Edition on 01.20.08 at 9:54 am

[...] Prosper Vintage Curve Update — 1/1/2008 [...]

#5 Second Peer to Peer Lending Carnival | Personal Loan Portfolio on 01.20.08 at 2:53 pm

[...] Peer-Lend posted information on the new bidding guidance and interest rates. Moolanomy posted information about his second loan on Prosper. Prosper Lending Review interviewed the Fynanz CEO. (That one was interesting enough that I already blogged about it.) Rate Ladder updated the vintage curves. [...]

#6 Peer-Lend.com » Blog Archive » » Carnival of Peer to Peer Lending #2 on 01.21.08 at 2:03 am

[...] analysis of factors like listing time, duration, and description length), and also presents updated Prosper vintage curves (late rates, as of [...]

#7 P2P-Banking.com Blog » P2P lending articles on 01.21.08 at 10:30 am

[...] Prosper Vintage Curve Update — 1/1/2008 [...]

Leave a Comment

Email Updates