1 Month Late or Worse Curves by Credit Grade (August 1, 07 Update)

This is an update to my original 1 month late or worse curves.

I believe we are starting to see the continued flattening of the curves.  Time will tell.

I have pulled the public data on the performance tab by hand in order to produce a spreadsheet of loan performance.

This spreadsheet was then pivoted and aggregated in order to produce 1 month late curves by credit grade and Markov Chains which can be used (when 42 months of data is available) to solve for the expected value of Prosper Loans by credit grade.

I have limited the graphs to 12 months so that there is a minimum of 6 months of data.

1 Month Late or Worse by Count (click picture for larger image):

1 Month Late Curve 200708
1 Month Late or Worse by Amount (click picture for larger image):

1 Month Late By Count 200708
Questions, Comments, Screams of Anguish?

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Prosper.com, Statistics



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1 comment so far ↓
#1 Mike on 08.14.07 at 6:44 pm

Mostly anguish. However, filter out the auto-funded loans, and those with undocumented incomes, and lets see if the anguish diminishes.

Mike

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